The plot showe the probability distruibution of importing n cases (including no importation n=0) by 31 October for the top 30 countries ranked according to the relative probability of having a case importation.
The projection considers an 80% air traffic reduction to and from the EVD affected countries.
Probabilities obtained from calibrating the model using total nunber of cases reported by WHO from 09 Aug,2014 to 23 Sept.2014,end considers the probability of invasion from 01 Oct.2014 to 31 Oct,2014.